Influenza has a CFR of 0.1%
COVID-19 has CFR of 2-3% (20-30x higher). Officially the CFR for COVID is ~3.3% but it is thought that is too high because there is thought to be many people who have it who are asymptomatic or have a mild reaction. FTR - 2% of 40% is 2.6 million.
The R0 is the highest driving factor for how many people will end up getting it the first year (aka R-Naught, is how many people on average an infected person spreads the infection to).
R0 for flu is 1.3. R0 for COVID is estimated to be 2.6, but I just read that the R0 is thought to be overestimated. and closer to 2.0. An R0 of 2.6 => closer to 70% of people. R0 of 2.0 => closer to 40% of people.
I think people forgets that if the ordinary flu would have caused this outbreak the counter measurements would probably be the same. But now it’s too late and too complex to stop it. Having two such viruses would probably very problematic and expensive. And which I believe many who compares this to the flu, forgets that we don’t know what this virus does and can cause. A person that had their lungs destroyed because, if true, the coronavirus still will have a miserable life than just dying. Assuming that the death rate is 1% there perhaps be 10% who will have major issues after an infection. That’s not dying but still bad enough.
The R0 is the highest driving factor for how many people will end up getting it the first year (aka R-Naught, is how many people on average an infected person spreads the infection to).
R0 for flu is 1.3. R0 for COVID is estimated to be 2.6, but I just read that the R0 is thought to be overestimated. and closer to 2.0. An R0 of 2.6 => closer to 70% of people. R0 of 2.0 => closer to 40% of people.
This is frightening as hell.